Tampa Bay Derby (GIII)

War Pass doesn't need to win and has only one posted workout since his Allowance win on 2/24, so don't take anything lower than 1/5 on him today.

Seriously, the Tampa Bay Derby (GIII) offers very little in terms of wagering propositions on top, so the challenge here is to find the likeliest place horse and salvage some value.

Big Truck will likely go off as the second choice, right around his morning line of 9/2. He is an honest runner, though he hasn't shown much speed to date. That may change today, however, if the bullets he's fired his last two works translate to the afternoon. In a short field with little class besides War Pass, Big Truck is the only plausible upsetter (and an unlikely one at that), and is the most likely to be moving well late. We'll play the Tagg entry and hope the Juvy champ isn't asked for any run late.