It's a horses for courses day at Frugal Capper HQ, with that angle looming large in our play in the My Charmer Handicap, a Grade III for older fillies and mares over the Turf Course at Calder.
Look for the 8 (Bayou's Lassie) and the 10 (Annabill) to jump on top early and duel each other through a relatively quick first 1/2 mile, with the 7 involved up front as well. I'm expecting a :23.5 quarter and a :47.2 half mile, with the field bunching up at the top of the turn.
At that point, J'ray (#11) will start circling the field and gearing up for her mad dash down the middle of the track. She's been in the exacta 2-of-2 at Calder, and we are looking for her to get up just in time today. She'll be fending off La Dolce Vita, who enters off slight freshening and has run well off the layoff at this distance in the past (93 Beyer in a $100K Optional Claimer in January). They will both be reeling in Bayou's Lassie, who has won 4 of her 5 starts at Calder, her only defeat coming by a length in last year's running of the My Charmer.
To fill out our trifecta we'll add a couple grinders whose style fits the pace scenario and need only a clean trip to pick up a piece of this race. Cozzi Capital is a steadily improving 3 year old who has hit the tote board 7-of-7 lifetime at Calder, winning her only start at today's distance two back. Running back to that effort today may be just enough to get her on our trifecta ticket. Redaspen is another who looks to close into the trifecta.
The pick to win is J'ray (#11). If that is your preferred play, don't take any less than the 3/1 morning line on her.
Our exotic plays are as follows, let's hope we nailed it and can walk to the window to cash multiple tickets:
$1 tri wheel - 11/2-8/2-3-4-7-8-10 ($10)
$1 tri key - 11/2-8 ($2)
$1 tri key - 2-8/11/3-4 ($4)
$1 tri key - 11/2-8/3-4 ($4)
Tota play = $20
12.01.2007
The My Charmer Handicap
Posted by
Jay Cipoletti
at
11:16 AM
Labels: betting, Calder, fillies and mares, gambling, Grade III, handicapping, investing, My Charmer Handicap, turf course, wagering
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