11.24.2007

Hollywood, Hollywood, Finally up to some good

Somebody, please, explain to the Frugal Capper how we can pore over the data for four races at Aqueduct and return $ZERO on a mythical $16 investment, then head to Hollywood and do nothing but play bombs to get back into the mix and return $74 in 6 races. Please?

It took a return of $15.65 per race to win this qualifier. This handicapper returned roughly $12.35/race at Hollywood, enough to justify going back for tomorrow's guaranteed $1 million Pick 6.

Thankfully, the Big A is in our rear view mirror. I may box the field in an exacta tomorrow just to cash a ticket at that money pit.

The final tally - Frugal Capper finished tied for 286th of over 4,000 entrants. In college, that would have earned an A, about the 93rd percentile. That and a five spot will get me a latte at Starbucks.

On a very positive note, my Mounties played efficiently today and are 60 minutes from playing for the national championship.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Haven't had a lot of luck this year at Aquesuct either.

What do you think makes that track so much harder to handicap?

Jay Cipoletti said...

Good question.

For me, it boils down to not being able to peg the pace scenario race after race. Most of my handicapping is predicated on mapping out what will happen the first 1/2 mile of a race, and I've misfired too many times.

I tend to think trainers and owners use Aqueduct for different reasons, and it is hard to gauge intentions without being on the backstretch every morning.

Fortunately, we won't be at the Big A this weekend, with races at Hollywood and Calder to choose from.