One, infinitesimal, bright spot, from yesterday's Mrs. Revere is how we structured the bottom half of our super wheel. The 11-13-4 ran 3rd-4th-5th, at odds of 9/1, 9/2 and 78/1, and separated by only a length. That's the bright spot.
The rest of the race was pretty ugly. I thought that Bit of Whimsy was a deserving but beatable favorite -- she wasn't. I thought that despite Tensas Yucatan's step up in class, her frontrunning style would ensure a good trip and get her to the wire at a price. As it turns out, she backed up the moment she got eyeballed, fading all the way to 10th in the 11-horse field. We'll take minor consolation in the fact she was bet down from 15/1 to 15/2...we obviously weren't the only ones who bought into her.
The real puzzle is why Bel Air Beauty came up empty. She was a little closer to the pace than anticipated, which should have translated into first run on the tiring leaders and at least a brief lead before being overtaken late. That didn't happen, not even close. She didn't have running room late, but had she ran her race she would have clear of any traffic trouble and under the whip to hold off Bit of Whimsy and Ciao.
That's enough dissecting that race, we missed it big. On a positive note, the Frugal Capper and the Sire teamed up to hit 5 of 6 at Hollywood's Pick 6 carryover, a bittersweet ticket that paid $670...6 of 6 paid $210,000.
Like any good punter, I can't wait for the next race.
YTD Investment - $38
YTD Return - ($38)
11.11.2007
One Bright Spot
Posted by
Jay Cipoletti
at
10:20 PM
Labels: betting, Churchill Downs, gambling, handicapping, horse racing, investing, wagering
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)

Stumble It!


No comments:
Post a Comment